Tokyo 2020: Olympic Marathon Swim Predictions - Florian Wellbrock (Germany)

Tokyo 2020: Olympic Marathon Swim Predictions – Florian Wellbrock (Germany)


Florian Wellbrock’s improvement in the pool is mirrored with his concurrent improvement in speed and savvy strategy in the open water. In the 1500m in the pool, the 22-year-old German has improved from 32nd at the 2016 Rio Olympics in 15:23.88 to a gold medal at the 2019 FINA World Championships in 14:36.54. The massive increase in pool swimming speed and stamina has boosted his standing in the open water world. In the 10 km open water races, he has spectacularly vaulted from rarely competing on the FINA/HOSA Marathon Swim World Series between 2016 and 2019 to winning the most pressure-packed 10 km race at the 2019 FINA World Championships. He pulled off the rare Mellouli Double, but he did it in an unprecedented manner: two distance races = two gold medals. For initially winning the 10 km race by 0.2 seconds and then winning the 1500m freestyle by 1.09 seconds 12 days later at the FINA World Championships, for pulling off the rarest Mellouli Double of all time, and for qualifying first and becoming the biggest dual pre-Olympic favorite in both the Olympic 10 km Marathon Swim and the 1500m freestyle at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics.

Date of Birth
19 Aug 1997

Height (cm)


City and Country Of Residence
Magdeburg, Germany

Languages Spoken

Name Of Coach
Bernd Berkhahn

Tokyo Olympic Games – Marathon Swim Predictions: “Expect the Unexpected”

WOWSA expects the unexpected at the Olympic 10K Marathon Swim at the Tokyo Olympic Games. Both the men’s and women’s races will be extremely close in the very flat – very warm-water, extremely humid and tightly-packed conditions.

It is anyone’s guess what will happen in the women’s race on August 4th and the men’s race on August 5th. Who will win gold? Who will finish in the Top 10? Will anyone have to quarantine or be prevented from swimming due to COVID-19 regulations?

No one knows. But WOWSA based its bold predictions on the track records of the world’s fastest marathon swimmers combined other intangibles, tendencies and tactics of each Olympic athlete.

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To celebrate the fastest 50 open water swimmers competing at the Olympic Games in Odaiba Marine Park in Tokyo Bay, we’ve partnered with Orca to bring you profiles and predictions of each of these incredible athletes. Pick your favorite to win gold in the men’s & women’s division and be entered to win something of your own.

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Gold – TRN Wetsuit
The TRN wetsuit is the ideal option for people who are taking their first steps in the world of open water. This wetsuit offers a mix of buoyancy and flexibility, which will make you feel comfortable and safe in your first sessions in the water.

Silver – Open Water Backpack
The Openwater Backpack is ideal for transporting all your equipment to your outdoor and open water swimming outings. It has different compartments for you to organize your equipment. One is waterproof so you can store your swimming gear after using it.

Bronze – Safety Buoy & Killa 180º Goggles
The new safety buoy will make you visible while swimming and offers a waterproof compartment to store your belongings while swimming. The Killa 180º Goggles provides ergonomic comfort and speed through the water whether training or racing.